MX23RW : Sunday, June 1 21:29:20| >> :60:189:189:
New York Red Bulls
MLS Playoffs | Regular Season
May 29, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Red Bull Arena, Harrison
Charlotte FC

NY Red Bulls
4 - 2
Charlotte FC

Bogacz (14'), Sofo (29'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (70' pen., 90+7' pen.)
Maxim Choupo-Moting (74'), Edelman (81'), Donkor (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Vargas (26'), Abada (76')
Biel (40'), Zaha (64'), Privett (68'), Malanda (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's MLS clash between New York Red Bulls and Charlotte FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 3-2 Columbus Crew
Sunday, May 25 at 12.30am in MLS Playoffs

We said: New York Red Bulls 2-1 Charlotte FC

Thursday's game should be a competitive one with both sides hoping to kick on after recent returns to winning ways, and we give a slight edge to the hosts to make it three straight wins across all competitions at Red Bull Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 57%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 20.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 1-2 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawCharlotte FC
57% (0.059999999999995 0.06) 22.18% (-0.02 -0.02) 20.83% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 55.7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.94% (0.042000000000002 0.04)43.06% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.54% (0.042000000000002 0.04)65.46% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.1% (0.034000000000006 0.03)14.9% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.74% (0.063000000000002 0.06)43.26% (-0.061 -0.06)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.45% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)34.55% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.73% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)71.27% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 57%
    Charlotte FC 20.83%
    Draw 22.17%
New York Red BullsDrawCharlotte FC
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.33% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.29% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.92% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.34% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 3% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.82% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.14% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.07% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 57%
1-1 @ 10.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.17%
1-2 @ 5.53% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.91% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 20.83%

How you voted: NY Red Bulls vs Charlotte FC

New York Red Bulls
78.6%
Draw
0.0%
Charlotte FC
21.4%
14
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2024 12.30am
May 30, 2024 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
3-1
Charlotte FC
Forsberg (74', 76'), Reyes (83')
Manoel (45+2')
Bender (90+6')
Privett (45+2'), Vargas (73'), Agyemang (80'), Westwood (85')
Oct 26, 2023 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
5-2
Charlotte FC
Manoel (10', 37', 78'), Tolkin (26'), Barlow (56')
Vargas (49'), Agyemang (64')
Malanda (25'), Copetti (33')
Jun 22, 2023 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
2-2
Charlotte FC
Vanzeir (53'), Harper (58')
Nealis (11'), Lesesne (12'), Harper (26'), Coronel (45+3'), Vanzeir (88')
Bender (13', 19')
Corujo (42'), Lindsey (55'), Bronico (84'), Byrne (89'), Gaines (90+5')
Mar 25, 2023 11.30pm
rhs 2.0
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