Major League Soccer
May 4, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
Inter Miami4 - 1NY Red Bulls
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-3 Vancouver
Thursday, May 1 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League
Thursday, May 1 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-0 Montreal
Saturday, April 26 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer
Saturday, April 26 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer
We said: Inter Miami 2-1 New York Red Bulls
The previous 10 encounters between Inter Miami and the Red Bulls have featured a winner, and Saturday should be no different. While the New York team will strive to inflict further misery on Mascherano's squad after Wednesday's Champions Cup exit, the Herons are expected to return to winning form and avoid a fourth consecutive loss. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 56.4%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 22.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
56.4% ( -0.34) | 21.56% ( 0.24) | 22.03% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 59.65% ( -0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
