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Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
Mar 29, 2025 at 11.30pm UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Inter Miami
2 - 1
Philadelphia

Taylor (23'), Messi (57')
Cremaschi (21'), Bright (76'), Falcon (79'), Alba (90+4'), Suarez (90+5'), Busquets (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gazdag (80')
Baribo (45'), Glesnes (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between Inter Miami and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 Inter Miami
Sunday, March 16 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-0 St Louis City
Saturday, March 22 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 3-2 Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union have made a bright start to the season, but this will be their toughest assignment to date, as they now travel to Chase Stadium, where they were beaten 3-1 last season. While Inter Miami may start the match without their talisman and skipper Lionel Messi, they still have plenty of firepower in attack, and we feel they will come out of this match with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 54.85%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.69%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Inter Miami in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Miami.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawPhiladelphia Union
54.85% (-0.156 -0.16) 20.59% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 24.55% (0.117 0.12)
Both teams to score 66.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.04% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)30.95% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.66% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)52.33% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.47% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)11.52% (0.06 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.58% (-0.129 -0.13)36.42% (0.128 0.13)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.36% (0.057000000000002 0.06)24.63% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.85% (0.079000000000001 0.08)59.14% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 54.86%
    Philadelphia Union 24.55%
    Draw 20.59%
Inter MiamiDrawPhiladelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.69% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.63% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.77% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.69% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.61% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.53% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.56% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.09% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 54.86%
1-1 @ 8.59% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.5% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.84% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 20.59%
1-2 @ 6.02% (0.023 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.98% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.04% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.81% (0.015 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.79% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.01 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 24.55%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs Philadelphia

Inter Miami
78.9%
Draw
5.3%
Philadelphia Union
15.8%
19
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2024 12.30am
Inter Miami
3-1
Philadelphia
Messi (26', 30'), Suarez (90+8')
Aviles (32'), Martino (33'), Suarez (75'), Messi (87'), Busquets (90+5')
Uhre (2')
Elliott (56'), Sullivan (72')
Jun 16, 2024 12.30am
Philadelphia
1-2
Inter Miami
Uhre (3')
Bedoya (34'), Wagner (64'), Flach (83')
Gressel (47'), Afonso (90+4')
Ruiz (32'), Aviles (66'), Campana (82'), Alba (83')
Ruiz (69'), Aviles (84')
Jun 25, 2023 12.30am
Philadelphia
4-1
Inter Miami
Glesnes (14'), Carranza (39'), Flach (45+4'), Ruiz (68' og.)
Uhre (15'), Andres Martinez (24')
Taylor (50')
Robinson (84')
Mar 5, 2023 12.30am
Jul 14, 2022 1am
Inter Miami
1-2
Philadelphia
Higuain (82')
Duke (45+3'), Lowe (88'), Sailor (90+6')
Gazdag (26' pen.), Burke (66')
Bedoya (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati107121512322
2Columbus Crew10631148621
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia106131991019
4Charlotte FCCharlotte FC10613168819
5Inter MiamiInter Miami95311610618
6Nashville SCNashville105141913616
7Orlando City104421812616
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls10433119215
9New York City FCNY City104241213-114
10New England RevolutionNew England941477013
11Chicago Fire103341822-412
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta102351119-89
13DC United102351122-119
14Toronto10145814-67
15CF MontrealMontreal10037414-103

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver107212071323
2Portland TimbersPortland105322015518
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd104421210216
4Colorado RapidsColorado104421414016
5Austin FCAustin10514710-316
6Dallas104331414015
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104241516-114
8Seattle SoundersSeattle103431312113
9Real Salt LakeSalt Lake104061115-412
10San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes103162019110
11St Louis City1024478-110
12Houston DynamoHouston102441014-410
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas102171621-57
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy10037820-123
15San Diego FC00000000


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