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Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
Mar 29, 2025 at 11.30pm UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Inter Miami
2 - 1
Philadelphia

Taylor (23'), Messi (57')
Cremaschi (21'), Bright (76'), Falcon (79'), Alba (90+4'), Suarez (90+5'), Busquets (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gazdag (80')
Baribo (45'), Glesnes (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between Inter Miami and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 Inter Miami
Sunday, March 16 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-0 St Louis City
Saturday, March 22 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 3-2 Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union have made a bright start to the season, but this will be their toughest assignment to date, as they now travel to Chase Stadium, where they were beaten 3-1 last season. While Inter Miami may start the match without their talisman and skipper Lionel Messi, they still have plenty of firepower in attack, and we feel they will come out of this match with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 54.85%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.69%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Inter Miami in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Miami.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawPhiladelphia Union
54.85% (-0.156 -0.16) 20.59% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 24.55% (0.117 0.12)
Both teams to score 66.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.04% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)30.95% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.66% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)52.33% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.47% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)11.52% (0.06 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.58% (-0.129 -0.13)36.42% (0.128 0.13)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.36% (0.057000000000002 0.06)24.63% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.85% (0.079000000000001 0.08)59.14% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 54.86%
    Philadelphia Union 24.55%
    Draw 20.59%
Inter MiamiDrawPhiladelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.69% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.63% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.77% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.69% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.61% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.53% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.56% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.09% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 54.86%
1-1 @ 8.59% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.5% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.84% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 20.59%
1-2 @ 6.02% (0.023 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.98% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.04% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.81% (0.015 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.79% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.01 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 24.55%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs Philadelphia

Inter Miami
78.9%
Draw
5.3%
Philadelphia Union
15.8%
19
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2024 12.30am
Inter Miami
3-1
Philadelphia
Messi (26', 30'), Suarez (90+8')
Aviles (32'), Martino (33'), Suarez (75'), Messi (87'), Busquets (90+5')
Uhre (2')
Elliott (56'), Sullivan (72')
Jun 16, 2024 12.30am
Philadelphia
1-2
Inter Miami
Uhre (3')
Bedoya (34'), Wagner (64'), Flach (83')
Gressel (47'), Afonso (90+4')
Ruiz (32'), Aviles (66'), Campana (82'), Alba (83')
Ruiz (69'), Aviles (84')
Jun 25, 2023 12.30am
Philadelphia
4-1
Inter Miami
Glesnes (14'), Carranza (39'), Flach (45+4'), Ruiz (68' og.)
Uhre (15'), Andres Martinez (24')
Taylor (50')
Robinson (84')
Mar 5, 2023 12.30am
Jul 14, 2022 1am
Inter Miami
1-2
Philadelphia
Higuain (82')
Duke (45+3'), Lowe (88'), Sailor (90+6')
Gazdag (26' pen.), Burke (66')
Bedoya (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1483324121227
2Columbus Crew147522218426
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati158252121026
4Inter MiamiInter Miami137332619724
5New York City FCNY City157352017324
6Nashville SCNashville146442417722
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC147162218422
8Chicago Fire156452828022
9Orlando City145632518721
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146352115621
11New England RevolutionNew England136341510521
12DC United144461526-1116
13Toronto143471619-313
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta153481727-1013
15CF MontrealMontreal141310725-186

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1484225131228
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle145542318520
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145272722517
8Dallas144551522-717
9Austin FCAustin14527817-917
10St Louis City143471118-713
11Houston DynamoHouston143471422-813
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144191321-813
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas133281923-411
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy131481229-177
15San Diego FC00000000


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