Major League Soccer
Mar 22, 2025 at 11.30pm UK
Subaru Park
Philadelphia1 - 0St Louis City
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-3 Nashville
Sunday, March 16 at 6.25pm in Major League Soccer
Sunday, March 16 at 6.25pm in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
11
Last Game: St Louis City 1-0 Seattle
Sunday, March 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, March 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
4
We said: Philadelphia Union 2-1 St Louis City
Sunday's clash sees the highest-scoring team in the MLS so far take on the meanest defence, and we are expecting a keenly contested affair. That said, we are also backing the home side to come out on top, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 56.06%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 22.95% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.54%) and 1-0 (7.23%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | St Louis City |
56.06% ( -0.02) | 20.98% ( 0) | 22.95% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 63.13% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
