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Major League Soccer
Mar 9, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Gillette Stadium
Philadelphia Union

New England
0 - 2
Philadelphia


Langoni (52'), Ceballos (90+11')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Baribo (76' og.), Lukic (90+7')
Gazdag (44'), Baribo (78'), Makhanya (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New England 0-1 Columbus Crew
Sunday, March 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 4-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, March 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New England Revolution 1-2 Philadelphia Union

The Philadelphia Union have flown out of the blocks so far, while the New England Revolution are yet to take off heading into this weekend's meeting. Albeit by only a narrow margin, we are backing the away side to steal a victory come the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawPhiladelphia Union
39.7% (-0.302 -0.3) 24.42% (-0.058 -0.06) 35.87% (0.36 0.36)
Both teams to score 59.76% (0.262 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.97% (0.319 0.32)43.03% (-0.317 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.57% (0.314 0.31)65.43% (-0.31399999999999 -0.31)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.29% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)21.7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.14% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)54.86% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.33% (0.345 0.34)23.67% (-0.344 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.22% (0.493 0.49)57.78% (-0.493 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 39.7%
    Philadelphia Union 35.88%
    Draw 24.41%
New England RevolutionDrawPhiladelphia Union
2-1 @ 8.64% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.85% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-0 @ 5.99% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.4% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 39.7%
1-1 @ 11.3% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.22% (0.035 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.14% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.41%
1-2 @ 8.15% (0.047999999999998 0.05)
0-1 @ 7.4% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.33% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.91% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.99% (0.047 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.56% (0.041 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.41% (0.036 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.08% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 35.88%

How you voted: New England vs Philadelphia

New England Revolution
16.7%
Draw
33.3%
Philadelphia Union
50.0%
12
Head to Head
Jul 18, 2024 12.30am
Philadelphia
5-1
New England
Baribo (29', 44', 52'), Glesnes (39'), Sullivan (84')
Harkes (50')
Panayotou (66')
May 19, 2024 12.30am
New England
0-3
Philadelphia

Porter (15'), Kessler (17'), Vrioni (66'), Arreaga (85')
Spaulding (14')
Carranza (38'), Gazdag (47', 80')
Harriel (30')
Nov 9, 2023 12am
New England
0-1
Philadelphia

Gil (90+4')
Kaye (45')
Donovan (79')
Lowe (33'), Mbaizo (90+4')
Oct 28, 2023 10pm
Philadelphia
3-1
New England
Gazdag (19' pen.), Uhre (26'), Harriel (37')
Andres Martinez (87')
Bou (68')
Wood (29'), Farrell (35'), Chancalay (37'), Vrioni (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati107121512322
2Columbus Crew10631148621
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia106131991019
4Charlotte FCCharlotte FC10613168819
5Inter MiamiInter Miami95311610618
6Nashville SCNashville105141913616
7Orlando City104421812616
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls10433119215
9New York City FCNY City104241213-114
10New England RevolutionNew England941477013
11Chicago Fire103341822-412
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta102351119-89
13DC United102351122-119
14Toronto10145814-67
15CF MontrealMontreal10037414-103

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver107212071323
2Portland TimbersPortland105322015518
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd104421210216
4Colorado RapidsColorado104421414016
5Austin FCAustin10514710-316
6Dallas104331414015
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104241516-114
8Seattle SoundersSeattle103431312113
9Real Salt LakeSalt Lake104061115-412
10San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes103162019110
11St Louis City1024478-110
12Houston DynamoHouston102441014-410
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas102171621-57
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy10037820-123
15San Diego FC00000000


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