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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
New England Revolution | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
45.3% (![]() | 23.54% (![]() | 31.16% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.38% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.75% (![]() | 40.25% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.38% (![]() | 62.62% (![]() |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.92% (![]() | 18.07% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51% (![]() | 48.99% (![]() |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.92% (![]() | 25.08% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.24% (![]() | 59.76% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
New England Revolution | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
2-1 @ 9.17% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.75% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.63% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.23% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.78% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.62% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.55% ( ![]() Other @ 3.71% Total : 45.3% | 1-1 @ 10.72% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.35% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.53% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.67% ( ![]() Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.54% | 1-2 @ 7.42% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.27% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.34% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.42% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 36 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 61 | 40 | 21 | 73 |
2 | Orlando City | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 69 |
3 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 60 |
5 | New England RevolutionNew England | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 55 |
6 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 36 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 70 | 57 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Nashville SCNashville | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 49 |
8 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 37 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 47 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 47 | 57 | -10 | 43 |
10 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 41 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 41 |
12 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 49 | -4 | 40 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 40 |
14 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 34 |
15 | Toronto | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 22 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 36 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 58 |
2 | St Louis City | 36 | 17 | 5 | 14 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 56 |
3 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 36 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 56 |
4 | Houston DynamoHouston | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 54 | 40 | 14 | 55 |
5 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 54 | 53 | 1 | 51 |
6 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 51 |
7 | Dallas | 36 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 44 | 40 | 4 | 49 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 48 |
9 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 35 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 45 |
10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 43 |
11 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 41 |
12 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 39 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 51 | 67 | -16 | 36 |
14 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 27 |