Philadelphia Union 3-1 New England Revolution - Major League Soccer - October 28, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

3 - 1

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Gazdag (19' pen.), Uhre (26'), Harriel (37')
Andres Martinez (87')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Bou (68')
Wood (29'), Farrell (35'), Chancalay (36'), Vrioni (87')

The 2023 MLS season is now up and running, and you can watch every game live with the MLS season pass on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe.

The Match

Preview

More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: New England 2-1 Philadelphia
Saturday, October 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

New England Revolution

All competitions

Last Game: New England 2-1 Philadelphia
Saturday, October 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-1 New England Revolution

The Union were unbeaten in 16 of their 17 MLS home contests this season, conceding just 13 goals over that stretch, and they are more than accustomed to handling these pressure situations. New England may have won their previous playoff matchup at Subaru Park (1-0 in 2020), but they leave too many gaps in behind, which the home side should be able to exploit.

How to watch

You can watch Philadelphia Union vs. New England Revolution and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 56%. A draw has a probability of 22.6% and a win for New England Revolution has a probability of 21.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.66%), while for a New England Revolution win it is 0-1 (5.75%).

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	New England Revolution
56% ( 1.08)	22.62% ( 0.29)	21.38% ( -1.37)

Both teams to score 55.07% (

-2.9)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.69% (

-2.94)

44.31% (

2.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.32% (

-2.92)

66.69% (

2.92)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.35% (

-0.66)

15.66% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.32% (

-1.23)

44.69% (

1.24)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.29% (

-2.9)

34.72% (

2.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.56% (

-3.19)

71.45% (

3.2)

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 55.99%

New England Revolution 21.38%

Draw 22.62%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	New England Revolution
1-0 @ 10.07% ( 1.02) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.76) 3-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.35) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.33) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.19) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 55.99%	1-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.3) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.67) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.4) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.62%	0-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.3) 0-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.31) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.05% Total : 21.38%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs New England

Philadelphia Union

83.3%

Draw

16.7%

New England Revolution

0.0%

Head to Head

Oct 21, 2023 11pm

2-1

Bou (25' pen., 41')

Carranza (16')
Harriel (7'), Lowe (23'), Wagner (24'), Carranza (90+2')

May 21, 2023 12.30am

3-0

Gazdag (56', 74' pen.), Carranza (88')
Real (90+3')

Blessing (4'), Wood (45'), Gil (73'), Altidore (84'), Romney (90')

Jul 17, 2022 12.30am

2-1

Uhre (75'), Gazdag (79' pen.)
Bedoya (90+4')

Bou (61')

May 29, 2022 12.30am

1-1

Sep 4, 2021 12.30am

Gameweek 32

0-1

Harriel (33'), Bedoya (71'), Sullivan (77'), Fontana (80'), Aaronson (89')

Ingvi Traustason (55'), Kessler (90+3')
Ingvi Traustason (59')