

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Famalicao win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Estrela Amadora has a probability of 30.81% and a draw has a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win is 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.63%).
| Result | ||
| Estrela Amadora | Draw | Famalicao |
| 30.81% ( | 26.58% ( | 42.61% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.02% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.31% ( | 53.69% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.82% ( | 75.18% ( |
| Estrela Amadora Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.98% ( | 32.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.52% ( | 68.48% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.05% ( | 24.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.41% ( | 59.59% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Estrela Amadora | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 9.1% ( 2-1 @ 7.19% ( 2-0 @ 5.18% ( 3-1 @ 2.73% ( 3-0 @ 1.97% ( 3-2 @ 1.9% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 30.81% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0-0 @ 7.99% ( 2-2 @ 4.99% ( Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.58% | 0-1 @ 11.09% ( 1-2 @ 8.77% ( 0-2 @ 7.7% ( 1-3 @ 4.06% ( 0-3 @ 3.56% ( 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0-4 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 42.61% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Porto | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 19 |
| 5 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | Estrela Amadora | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | PortimonensePortimonense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 |
| 11 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 10 |
| 12 | SC FarenseFarense | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 10 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 14 | ChavesChaves | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 7 |
| 15 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 |
| 16 | Vizela | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 5 |
| 18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 4 |
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