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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Chaves
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 24, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Estrela Amadora
Chaves
2 - 2
Estrela Amadora
Hernandez (85'), Pinho (90+4')
Nogueira (33'), Guimaraes (42'), Victor Ferreira de Jesus (51'), Vitoria (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cordeiro (45+1'), Jaba (70')
Mansur (36'), Genezio (56'), Gaspar (90+10')
Mansur (90+7')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boavista 4-1 Chaves
Monday, September 18 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 0-1 Porto
Friday, September 15 at 7.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Chaves 2-1 Estrela Amadora

Chaves have endured a horror start to the new campaign and will head into the weekend looking to pick up a morale-boosting result. However, the Flavienses take on an inexperienced Estrela side who have struggled for results on the road and we fancy them snapping their losing streak this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 0-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
ChavesDrawEstrela Amadora
46.59% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1) 24.83% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 28.58% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Both teams to score 55.34% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.5% (-0.067 -0.07)47.5% (0.067 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.29% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)69.71% (0.062999999999988 0.06)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)20.45% (0.071000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.1% (-0.115 -0.12)52.9% (0.114 0.11)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.56% (0.022000000000006 0.02)30.44% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.35% (0.027999999999999 0.03)66.65% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Chaves 46.59%
    Estrela Amadora 28.58%
    Draw 24.83%
ChavesDrawEstrela Amadora
1-0 @ 9.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.84% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.94% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.15% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 46.59%
1-1 @ 11.75% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.23% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.83%
0-1 @ 7.4% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.99% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.4% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 28.58%

rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica97111981122
2Sporting Lisbon87101771022
3Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes96121710719
4Porto8611116519
5Braga95222317617
6BoavistaBoavista84311813515
7MoreirenseMoreirense94231210214
8FamalicaoFamalicao833288012
9PortimonensePortimonense93241018-811
10Gil Vicente93152118310
11Casa Pia924388010
12Estrela Amadora8224812-48
13SC FarenseFarense8215111107
14ChavesChaves92161226-147
15Vizela81341014-46
16AroucaArouca9135914-56
17Rio AveRio Ave8125614-85
18Estoril PraiaEstoril91171420-64

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