Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 36.57%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
SC Farense | Draw | Chaves |
35.81% (![]() | 27.62% (![]() | 36.57% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.97% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.2% (![]() | 56.8% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.27% (![]() | 77.73% (![]() |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.75% (![]() | 30.26% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.58% (![]() | 66.43% (![]() |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.21% (![]() | 29.79% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.14% (![]() | 65.86% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
SC Farense | Draw | Chaves |
1-0 @ 10.77% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.8% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.44% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.11% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.88% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 2.32% Total : 35.81% | 1-1 @ 13.04% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.01% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.72% ( ![]() Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.61% | 0-1 @ 10.91% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.9% 0-2 @ 6.61% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.19% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.67% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.91% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 22 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 22 |
3 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Porto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 17 |
6 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
9 | PortimonensePortimonense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 10 |
11 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
13 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
14 | ChavesChaves | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 7 |
15 | Vizela | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 |
17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 |
18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 4 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |