Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Chaves win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Farense would win this match.