Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
SC Farense | Draw | Portimonense |
31.55% | 28.35% | 40.09% |
Both teams to score 46.11% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.96% | 60.04% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.73% | 80.26% |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.2% | 34.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.46% | 71.53% |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.72% | 29.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.75% | 65.25% |
Score Analysis |
SC Farense | Draw | Portimonense |
1-0 @ 10.75% 2-1 @ 6.97% 2-0 @ 5.68% 3-1 @ 2.45% 3-0 @ 2% 3-2 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.19% Total : 31.54% | 1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 10.19% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.35% | 0-1 @ 12.51% 1-2 @ 8.11% 0-2 @ 7.69% 1-3 @ 3.32% 0-3 @ 3.15% 2-3 @ 1.75% 1-4 @ 1.02% 0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.57% Total : 40.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 40 |
2 | Benfica | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 10 | 21 | 39 |
3 | Porto | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 33 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 30 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
8 | Casa Pia | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 19 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 19 |
10 | PortimonensePortimonense | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 36 | -18 | 18 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 17 |
12 | Estrela Amadora | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 17 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 16 |
15 | Gil Vicente | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 15 |
16 | Rio AveRio Ave | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 15 |
17 | Vizela | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 13 |
18 | ChavesChaves | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |