Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.9%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 16.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.28%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.
Result | ||
SC Farense | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
16.08% | 23.02% | 60.9% |
Both teams to score 44.65% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.54% | 53.46% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.01% | 74.99% |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.92% | 46.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.21% | 81.78% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.81% | 17.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.55% | 47.45% |
Score Analysis |
SC Farense | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 6.14% 2-1 @ 4.19% 2-0 @ 2.38% 3-1 @ 1.08% 3-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.35% Total : 16.08% | 1-1 @ 10.8% 0-0 @ 7.92% 2-2 @ 3.69% Other @ 0.61% Total : 23.01% | 0-1 @ 13.94% 0-2 @ 12.28% 1-2 @ 9.52% 0-3 @ 7.21% 1-3 @ 5.59% 0-4 @ 3.18% 1-4 @ 2.46% 2-3 @ 2.16% 0-5 @ 1.12% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.49% Total : 60.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 18 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 16 |
3 | Porto | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 |
4 | Braga | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 13 |
5 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 13 |
6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 10 |
8 | Casa Pia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 7 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 6 |
11 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 |
13 | Vizela | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 5 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 |
17 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 4 |
18 | ChavesChaves | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 1 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |