Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.