

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 40.66% ( | 24.84% ( | 34.5% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.99% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.78% ( | 45.22% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.44% ( | 67.56% ( |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.8% ( | 22.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.39% ( | 55.61% ( |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.54% ( | 25.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.7% ( | 60.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 1-0 @ 8.51% ( 2-0 @ 6.4% ( 3-1 @ 4.4% ( 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 4-2 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 40.66% | 1-1 @ 11.63% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.84% | 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0-1 @ 7.73% ( 0-2 @ 5.29% ( 1-3 @ 3.63% ( 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0-3 @ 2.41% ( 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 2-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.57% Total : 34.5% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 29 |
| 2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 5 | 17 | 27 |
| 3 | Kelty Hearts | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
| 4 | Montrose | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 15 |
| 5 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 14 |
| 6 | Cove Rangers | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 12 |
| 8 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 8 |
| 10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 6 |
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
