Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 60.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 17.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.