

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 16.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.48%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lazio in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lazio.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Lecce |
| 58.27% ( | 24.87% ( | 16.85% ( |
| Both teams to score 41.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.13% ( | 58.88% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.63% ( | 79.37% ( |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.81% ( | 20.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.5% ( | 52.5% ( |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.7% ( | 48.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 16.55% ( | 83.45% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lazio | Draw | Lecce |
| 1-0 @ 15.6% ( 2-0 @ 12.48% ( 2-1 @ 9.08% 3-0 @ 6.66% ( 3-1 @ 4.84% ( 4-0 @ 2.66% ( 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 3-2 @ 1.76% ( Other @ 3.24% Total : 58.27% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( 0-0 @ 9.75% ( 2-2 @ 3.31% ( Other @ 0.46% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 7.1% ( 1-2 @ 4.13% ( 0-2 @ 2.58% ( 1-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.04% Total : 16.85% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 82 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 79 | 35 | 44 | 81 |
| 3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 76 | 34 | 42 | 74 |
| 4 | Juventus | 37 | 17 | 16 | 4 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 67 |
| 5 | Roma | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 54 | 35 | 19 | 66 |
| 6 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 48 | 13 | 65 |
| 7 | AC Milan | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 63 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 62 |
| 9 | Bologna | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 62 |
| 10 | Como | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 49 |
| 11 | Torino | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 44 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 44 |
| 13 | Genoa | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 |
| 14 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 36 |
| 15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 65 | -33 | 34 |
| 16 | Parma | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 33 |
| 17 | Empoli | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 32 | 57 | -25 | 31 |
| 18 | Lecce | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 31 |
| 19 | VeneziaVenezia | 37 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 29 |
| R | Monza | 38 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 28 | 69 | -41 | 18 |
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
