Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 22, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Empoli0 - 2Lazio
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Torino 1-0 Empoli
Saturday, December 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Saturday, December 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A
We said: Empoli 0-1 Lazio
Lazio's poor form means while they may be slight favourites for this one, it could be a much closer outing than Sarri would prefer. Hosts Empoli are in the midst of a rut though, and while two of their three wins this season came against Fiorentina and Napoli, this will be a tough task, especially with Caputo potentially out injured. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Lazio |
26.67% ( -0.25) | 25.4% ( 0.05) | 47.93% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 52.1% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
