Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 63.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 15.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.