Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 53.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.