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Serie A
Roma logo
Serie A | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Napoli logo
Roma
0 - 1
Napoli

Smalling (22'), Cristante (51'), Mourinho (58'), Ibanez (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Osimhen (80')
Lozano (45+3'), Ndombele (47'), Spalletti (74'), Olivera (78'), Lobotka (79')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 0-1 Roma
Monday, October 17 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Napoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 3-2 Bologna
Sunday, October 16 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 1-2 Napoli

 The last two matches in this southern derby have finished level, and that streak would reach three for the first time in 27 years if two contrasting sides cannot be separated at the Olimpico. However, Napoli's slicker passing and more clinical touch in the box could prove the factors which tip the balance in their favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Roma had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.

Result
RomaDrawNapoli
31.09% (0.188 0.19) 26.13% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08) 42.77% (-0.102 -0.1)
Both teams to score 52.53% (0.341 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.21% (0.40300000000001 0.4)51.79% (-0.399 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.44% (0.349 0.35)73.55% (-0.346 -0.35)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.15% (0.33500000000001 0.34)30.85% (-0.332 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.87% (0.39 0.39)67.13% (-0.38600000000001 -0.39)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97% (0.128 0.13)24.03% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.71% (0.182 0.18)58.29% (-0.176 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Roma 31.09%
    Napoli 42.77%
    Draw 26.13%
RomaDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 8.72% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 7.31% (0.044 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.13% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.87% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.01% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 31.09%
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 10.57% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 8.86% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 7.54% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.21% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.58% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 42.77%

How you voted: Roma vs Napoli

Roma
17.6%
Draw
13.7%
Napoli
68.7%
278
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2022 6pm
Napoli
1-1
Roma
Insigne (11' pen.)
Koulibaly (37'), Zanoli (52'), Lozano (63'), Insigne (64')
El Shaarawy (90+1')
Cristante (17'), Zaniolo (71')
Fuzato (79')
Oct 24, 2021 5pm
Roma
0-0
Napoli

Mourinho (19'), Abraham (30'), Mourinho (82'), Karsdorp (90+4'), Veretout (90+4'), Mancini (90+5')

Mertens (90+5')
Spalletti (90+6')
Mar 21, 2021 7.45pm
Roma
0-2
Napoli

Ibanez (26'), Mancini (45+1'), Diawara (59'), El Shaarawy (64'), Villar (85')
Mertens (27', 34')
Zielinski (47'), Koulibaly (78'), Osimhen (90+1')
Nov 29, 2020 7.45pm
Napoli
4-0
Roma
Insigne (31'), Fabian (64'), Mertens (81'), Politano (86')
Di Lorenzo (32')

Ibanez (29'), Cristante (77')
Jul 5, 2020 8.45pm
Napoli
2-1
Roma
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli37276475284787
2Lazio37218858302871
3Inter Milan372231270422869
4AC Milan371910861421967
5Atalanta BCAtalanta371871261461561
6Roma371791148371160
7Juventus372161055332259
8Torino371411124240253
9Fiorentina371411125042853
10Monza371410134647-152
11Bologna371312125047351
12Udinese371113134747046
13SassuoloSassuolo37129164658-1245
14Empoli371013143747-1043
15Salernitana37915134860-1242
16Lecce37812173143-1236
17SpeziaSpezia37613183060-3031
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona37710203056-2631
19Cremonese37412213469-3524
RSampdoria37310242469-4519
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