Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 69.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Torino had a probability of 12.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Torino |
69.69% (![]() | 18.28% (![]() | 12.03% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.91% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.94% (![]() | 42.06% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.53% (![]() | 64.47% (![]() |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.08% (![]() | 10.92% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.91% (![]() | 35.09% (![]() |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.91% (![]() | 45.09% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.99% (![]() | 81.01% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Torino |
2-0 @ 12.07% 1-0 @ 10.9% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.62% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.92% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.1% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.94% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.93% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.19% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.57% ( ![]() Other @ 3.89% Total : 69.69% | 1-1 @ 8.68% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.92% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.83% ( ![]() Other @ 0.84% Total : 18.28% | 0-1 @ 3.92% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.46% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.56% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.02% 1-3 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 1.16% Total : 12.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 54 | 25 | 29 | 74 |
2 | Inter Milan | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 72 | 33 | 39 | 71 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 67 | 31 | 36 | 65 |
4 | Juventus | 34 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 51 | 31 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 60 |
6 | Bologna | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 52 | 37 | 15 | 60 |
7 | Fiorentina | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 59 |
8 | Lazio | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 59 |
9 | AC Milan | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 54 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Como | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 42 |
12 | Udinese | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 40 |
13 | Genoa | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 39 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 32 |
15 | Parma | 33 | 6 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 31 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 30 |
17 | Lecce | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 24 | 56 | -32 | 27 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 34 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 25 |
19 | Empoli | 34 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 27 | 54 | -27 | 25 |
20 | Monza | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 25 | 59 | -34 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |