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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Torino logo
Atalanta
3 - 1
Torino
Koopmeiners (45+4' pen., 47', 84' pen.)
Zappacosta (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vlasic (77')
Aina (19'), Buongiorno (46'), Vlasic (83')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Atalanta BC 2-2 Torino

Plenty of goalmouth action is to be expected in this fixture, considering that 35 goals have been scored at an average of 5.8 per game over the last three seasons. Atalanta will be viewed as the slight favourites on home soil, but the visitors are sure to have their say in the contest and should do enough to claim a hard-fought point on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 54.45%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Torino had a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawTorino
54.45% (-0.101 -0.1) 23.98% (0.044 0.04) 21.57% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 50.99% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.15% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)49.85% (0.111 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.15% (-0.093999999999998 -0.09)71.85% (0.09899999999999 0.1)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.8% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)18.2% (0.081 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.79% (-0.133 -0.13)49.21% (0.138 0.14)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)37.66% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.56% (0.0019999999999989 0)74.44% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 54.44%
    Torino 21.57%
    Draw 23.97%
Atalanta BCDrawTorino
1-0 @ 11.67% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.95% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.65% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.52% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.41% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 54.44%
1-1 @ 11.4% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.86% (0.03 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.97%
0-1 @ 6.7% (0.03 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.27% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 21.57%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Torino

Atalanta BC
66.2%
Draw
26.2%
Torino
7.6%
210
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2022 7.15pm
Atalanta
4-4
Torino
Muriel (18' pen., 84' pen.), De Roon (23'), Pasalic (78')
Freuler (35'), Pasalic (69')
Sanabria (4'), Lukic (36' pen., 63'), Freuler (67' og.)
Lukic (52'), Zima (83')
Aug 21, 2021 7.45pm
Torino
1-2
Atalanta
Belotti (79')
Rincon (52'), Bremer (72')
Muriel (6'), Piccoli (90+3')
Demiral (23'), Musso (81')
Feb 6, 2021 2pm
Atalanta
3-3
Torino
Ilicic (14'), Sirigu (19' og.), Muriel (21')
Luis Palomino (41'), Pasalic (86'), Toloi (87')
Belotti (42'), Bremer (45+1'), Bonazzoli (84')
Zaza (24'), N'Koulou (27')
Sep 26, 2020 2pm
Torino
2-4
Atalanta
Belotti (11', 43')
Zaza (39')
Papu (13'), Muriel (21'), Hateboer (42'), De Roon (54')
Caldara (30'), Freuler (87')
Jan 25, 2020 7.45pm
Torino
0-7
Atalanta

Izzo (44'), Sirigu (89')
Izzo (76'), Lukic (89')
Ilicic (17', 53', 54'), Gosens (29'), Zapata (45' pen.), Muriel (86' pen., 88')
de Roon (38'), Hateboer (90')
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli37276475284787
2Lazio37218858302871
3Inter Milan372231270422869
4AC Milan371910861421967
5Atalanta BCAtalanta371871261461561
6Roma371791148371160
7Juventus372161055332259
8Torino371411124240253
9Fiorentina371411125042853
10Monza371410134647-152
11Bologna371312125047351
12Udinese371113134747046
13SassuoloSassuolo37129164658-1245
14Empoli371013143747-1043
15Salernitana37915134860-1242
16Lecce37812173143-1236
17SpeziaSpezia37613183060-3031
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona37710203056-2631
19Cremonese37412213469-3524
RSampdoria37310242469-4519

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