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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 2
Aug 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Milan logo
Atalanta
1 - 1
AC Milan
Malinovskyi (29')
Toloi (16'), Hateboer (48'), Djimsiti (78'), de Roon (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bennacer (68')
Pioli (23'), Rebic (45+1'), Tonali (75'), Hernandez (78')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

Last Six:
Last Game: Sampdoria 0-2 Atalanta
Saturday, August 13 at 5.30pm in Serie A

AC Milan

Last Six:
Last Game: AC Milan 4-2 Udinese
Saturday, August 13 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 1-2 AC Milan

 Always an intriguing match-up, these two sides have clearly defined modes of play and a strongly-held identity. Though pragmatic, Milan's is generally more effective, and they can prolong their winning run by outscoring opponents who can barely buy a win on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.7%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawAC Milan
28.98% (0.025000000000002 0.03) 22.17% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 48.85% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 65.02% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.12% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)34.88% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.14% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)56.86% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.24% (0.0019999999999953 0)23.76% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)57.91% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.28% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)14.72% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.09% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)42.91% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 28.98%
    AC Milan 48.85%
    Draw 22.17%
Atalanta BCDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 6.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 5.03% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.18%
3-0 @ 1.73% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 28.98%
1-1 @ 9.63% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.63%
0-0 @ 3.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 2.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.17%
1-2 @ 9.23% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 6.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 6.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 5.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 4.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 2.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.96% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.08% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-4 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 48.85%

How you voted: Atalanta vs AC Milan

Atalanta BC
14.3%
Draw
16.8%
AC Milan
68.9%
161
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 5pm
AC Milan
2-0
Atalanta
Leao (56'), Hernandez (75')
Giroud (44'), Kessie (67'), Bennacer (90+2')

Koopmeiners (53'), Malinovskyi (87')
Oct 3, 2021 7.45pm
Atalanta
2-3
AC Milan
Zapata (86' pen.), Pasalic (90+4')
de Roon (40')
Calabria (1'), Tonali (43'), Leao (78')
Diaz (42'), Tomori (52'), Messias (85'), Leao (88'), Pioli (90+4')
May 23, 2021 7.45pm
Atalanta
0-2
AC Milan

Freuler (47'), de Roon (69'), Toloi (86')
de Roon (90+1')
Kessie (43' pen., 90+2')
Mandzukic (82'), Krunic (90+1'), Dalot (90+2')
Jan 23, 2021 5pm
AC Milan
0-3
Atalanta

Hernandez (38'), Kessie (51')
Romero (26'), Ilicic (53' pen.), Zapata (77')
Gosens (84')
Jul 24, 2020 8.45pm
AC Milan
1-1
Atalanta
Calhanoglu (14')
Biglia (25')
Zapata (34')
Toloi (38')
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli37276475284787
2Lazio37218858302871
3Inter Milan372231270422869
4AC Milan371910861421967
5Atalanta BCAtalanta371871261461561
6Roma371791148371160
7Juventus372161055332259
8Torino371411124240253
9Fiorentina371411125042853
10Monza371410134647-152
11Bologna371312125047351
12Udinese371113134747046
13SassuoloSassuolo37129164658-1245
14Empoli371013143747-1043
15Salernitana37915134860-1242
16Lecce37812173143-1236
17SpeziaSpezia37613183060-3031
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona37710203056-2631
19Cremonese37412213469-3524
RSampdoria37310242469-4519
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