Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 55.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 21.83%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-0 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.