

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Empoli | 38 | -20 | 41 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 38 | -17 | 36 |
| 16 | Spezia | 38 | -30 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Roma | 38 | 16 | 63 |
| 7 | Fiorentina | 38 | 8 | 62 |
| 8 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 17 | 59 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 33.84% ( | 25.02% ( | 41.14% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.82% ( | 46.17% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.53% ( | 68.47% ( |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.69% ( | 26.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.56% ( | 61.44% ( |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.62% ( | 22.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.12% ( | 55.88% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sampdoria | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 2-1 @ 7.86% ( 2-0 @ 5.25% ( 3-1 @ 3.5% ( 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 4-1 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 3.26% Total : 33.84% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0-0 @ 5.89% ( 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 3-3 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 8.81% ( 1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0-2 @ 6.6% ( 1-3 @ 4.4% ( 0-3 @ 3.29% ( 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 2-4 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 41.14% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 32 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 22 | 46 | 79 |
| 2 | Lazio | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 50 | 24 | 26 | 61 |
| 3 | Juventus | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 60 |
| 4 | Inter Milan | 32 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 54 | 35 | 19 | 57 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 57 |
| 6 | Roma | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 30 | 14 | 57 |
| 7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 55 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 45 |
| 9 | Bologna | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 45 |
| 10 | Monza | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 44 |
| 11 | SassuoloSassuolo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 43 |
| 12 | Udinese | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 42 |
| 13 | Torino | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 42 |
| 14 | Salernitana | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 34 |
| 15 | Empoli | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 32 |
| 16 | Lecce | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 27 |
| 18 | SpeziaSpezia | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 26 | 51 | -25 | 27 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 32 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 28 | 58 | -30 | 20 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 20 | 57 | -37 | 17 |
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