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Milan logo
Atalanta logo
Bologna logo
Cremonese
Empoli logo
Fiorentina logo
Hellas Verona logo
Inter logo
Juventus logo
Lazio logo
Lecce logo
Monza
Napoli logo
Roma logo
Salernitana
Sampdoria logo
Sassuolo logo
Spezia Calcio logo
Torino logo
Udinese logo
May 1, 2022 at 2pm UK at San Siro
AC Milan
1 - 0
Fiorentina
Leao (82')
Bennacer (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Maleh (2'), Venuti (42'), Martinez (72')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 Juventus
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-0 Fiorentina

Milan and Fiorentina have not drawn a Serie A fixture at San Siro since 2014, but this weekend's encounter could be a close-run affair, given the stakes for either side. An aberration against Inter aside, the Rossoneri have been defensively resolute for the past few months, so they can keep their visitors at arm's length and rely on their established ability to nick points by the slimmest of margins. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 63.31%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 15.94%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AC Milan in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.

Result
AC MilanDrawFiorentina
63.31%20.75%15.94%
Both teams to score 51.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.49%44.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.12%66.88%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.59%13.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.65%40.35%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.11%40.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.55%77.45%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 63.3%
    Fiorentina 15.94%
    Draw 20.75%
AC MilanDrawFiorentina
2-0 @ 11.06%
1-0 @ 11.01%
2-1 @ 9.9%
3-0 @ 7.41%
3-1 @ 6.63%
4-0 @ 3.72%
4-1 @ 3.33%
3-2 @ 2.97%
5-0 @ 1.5%
4-2 @ 1.49%
5-1 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 63.3%
1-1 @ 9.85%
0-0 @ 5.48%
2-2 @ 4.43%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 20.75%
0-1 @ 4.9%
1-2 @ 4.41%
0-2 @ 2.19%
2-3 @ 1.32%
1-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 15.94%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Fiorentina

AC Milan
86.0%
Draw
9.0%
Fiorentina
5.0%
100
Head to Head
Nov 20, 2021 7.45pm
Fiorentina
4-3
AC Milan
Duncan (15'), Saponara (45+1'), Vlahovic (60', 85')
Castrovilli (90+5')
Ibrahimovic (62', 67'), Venuti (90+6' og.)
Hernandez (90+5')
Mar 21, 2021 5pm
Fiorentina
2-3
AC Milan
Pulgar (17'), Ribery (51')
Prandelli (65'), Kouame (89')
Ibrahimovic (9'), Diaz (57'), Calhanoglu (72')
Calhanoglu (41'), Dalot (47'), Meite (90+2')
Nov 29, 2020 2pm
AC Milan
2-0
Fiorentina
Romagnoli (17'), Kessie (28' pen.)
Rebic (45+2'), Kessie (71')

Pezzella (25'), Castrovilli (52'), Biraghi (86'), Amrabat (90+1')
Feb 22, 2020 7.45pm
Fiorentina
1-1
AC Milan
Pulgar (85' pen.)
Caceres (76')
Henrique (62')
Rebic (56')
Bennacer (12'), Calhanoglu (25'), Hernandez (85')
Sep 29, 2019 7.45pm
AC Milan
1-3
Fiorentina
Leao (80')
Bennacer (13'), Calabria (86')
Musacchio (55')
Pulgar (14' pen.), Castrovilli (66'), Ribery (78')
Milenkovic (35'), Pezzella (49'), Lirola (86'), Benassi (87')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Result
Paul
De Minaur
6 4 1
3 6 6
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli25212258164265
2Lazio25146541192248
3Inter Milan24152744281647
4AC Milan25145642321047
5Roma24135631211044
6Atalanta BCAtalanta25126742281442
7Juventus24155440192135
8Bologna2410593133-235
9Udinese2571173330332
10Monza2595113035-532
11Torino248792629-331
12Fiorentina2587102931-231
13Empoli2561092333-1028
14SassuoloSassuolo2476112735-827
15Lecce246992427-327
16Salernitana2466122844-1624
17SpeziaSpezia2448122141-2020
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2445152037-1717
19Cremonese2419141943-2412
20Sampdoria2425171139-2811

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