

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 52 | 84 | 
| 3 | Napoli | 38 | 43 | 79 | 
| 4 | Juventus | 38 | 20 | 70 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Roma | 38 | 16 | 63 | 
| 7 | Fiorentina | 38 | 8 | 62 | 
| 8 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 17 | 59 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 58.89%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 19.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 1-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 1-2 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Fiorentina | 
| 58.89% | 21.23% | 19.87% | 
| Both teams to score 57.4% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 59.91% | 40.08% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 37.55% | 62.45% | 
| Napoli Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 86.68% | 13.32% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.83% | 40.17% | 
| Fiorentina Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 66.22% | 33.77% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.56% | 70.43% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Napoli | Draw | Fiorentina | 
| 2-1 @ 9.92% 2-0 @ 9.14% 1-0 @ 9.07% 3-1 @ 6.67% 3-0 @ 6.14% 3-2 @ 3.62% 4-1 @ 3.36% 4-0 @ 3.1% 4-2 @ 1.83% 5-1 @ 1.36% 5-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.44% Total : 58.89% | 1-1 @ 9.84% 2-2 @ 5.39% 0-0 @ 4.5% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.23% | 1-2 @ 5.34% 0-1 @ 4.88% 0-2 @ 2.65% 2-3 @ 1.95% 1-3 @ 1.93% 0-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.16% Total : 19.87% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 70 | 23 | 47 | 83 | 
| 2 | Juventus | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 66 | 
| 3 | Lazio | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 64 | 
| 4 | Inter Milan | 34 | 20 | 3 | 11 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 63 | 
| 5 | AC Milan | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 39 | 16 | 61 | 
| 6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 56 | 41 | 15 | 58 | 
| 7 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 45 | 33 | 12 | 58 | 
| 8 | Fiorentina | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 46 | 
| 9 | Monza | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 46 | 
| 10 | Torino | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 46 | 
| 11 | Bologna | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 45 | 
| 12 | Udinese | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 43 | 
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 43 | 
| 14 | Salernitana | 33 | 7 | 14 | 12 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 35 | 
| 15 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 35 | 
| 16 | Lecce | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 31 | 
| 17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 30 | 
| 18 | SpeziaSpezia | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 56 | -28 | 27 | 
| 19 | Cremonese | 34 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 24 | 
| 20 | Sampdoria | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 20 | 59 | -39 | 17 | 
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