| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 52 | 84 | 
| 3 | Napoli | 38 | 43 | 79 | 
| 4 | Juventus | 38 | 20 | 70 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 | 
| 19 | Genoa | 38 | -33 | 28 | 
| 20 | Venezia | 38 | -35 | 27 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 79.25%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 7.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.7%) and 1-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.29%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (2.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Genoa | 
| 79.25% (  -0.02) | 13.34% (  0.01) | 7.4% (  0.01) | 
| Both teams to score 48.17% (  0.05) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 66.91% (  0.03) | 33.09% (  -0.03) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 45.17% (  0.04) | 54.82% (  -0.04) | 
| Napoli Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 93.42% (  -0) | 6.58% (  0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.52% | 24.48% (  -0) | 
| Genoa Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 51.56% (  0.05) | 48.44% (  -0.05) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.45% (  0.04) | 83.55% (  -0.04) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Napoli | Draw | Genoa | 
| 2-0 @ 11.79% (  -0.02) 3-0 @ 10.7% (  -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.67% (  -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.55% 3-1 @ 7.76% (  -0) 4-0 @ 7.28% (  -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.28% (  -0) 5-0 @ 3.96% (  -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.87% (  -0) 3-2 @ 2.81% (  0) 4-2 @ 1.91% (  0) 6-0 @ 1.8% (  -0) 6-1 @ 1.3% (  -0) 5-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.5% Total : 79.24% | 1-1 @ 6.29% (  0) 0-0 @ 3.19% (  -0) 2-2 @ 3.1% (  0) Other @ 0.77% Total : 13.34% | 0-1 @ 2.31% (  0) 1-2 @ 2.28% (  0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 7.4% |