The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Bologna
Saturday, May 21 at 4.15pm in Serie A
Saturday, May 21 at 4.15pm in Serie A
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
| 19 | Genoa | 38 | -33 | 28 |
| 20 | Venezia | 38 | -35 | 27 |
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 Juventus
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Napoli | 38 | 43 | 79 |
| 4 | Juventus | 38 | 20 | 70 |
| 5 | Lazio | 38 | 19 | 64 |
We said: Genoa 1-2 Juventus
Genoa are fighting for their lives towards the bottom of the table and are more than capable of picking up a positive result against Juventus. The Old Lady have been in strong form in recent weeks, though, and we are expecting the visitors to shade a close contest on Friday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 60.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 16.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.75%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-0 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Juventus |
| 16.69% | 22.66% | 60.64% |
| Both teams to score 46.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
