Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 26.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.