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Ligue 1
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Clermont Foot
Marseille
1 - 0
Clermont
Gueye (49')
Rongier (44'), Bailly (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Andric (37'), Seidu (64')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Clermont, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

Last Six:
Last Game: Nice 0-3 Marseille
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Clermont

Last Six:
Last Game: Lorient 2-1 Clermont
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 3-1 Clermont

 Although Clermont won the most recent meeting between the two clubs, we think that an in-form Marseille side will claim a comfortable victory to keep pace with defending champions PSG. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 63.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 16.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawClermont
63.2% (-0.064 -0.06) 20.77% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 16.04% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 51.36% (0.041999999999994 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.6% (0.0020000000000024 0)44.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.23% (0.0010000000000048 0)66.77% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.59% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)13.41% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.65% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)40.35% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Clermont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.31% (0.060000000000002 0.06)40.69% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.72% (0.053999999999998 0.05)77.28% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 63.19%
    Clermont 16.04%
    Draw 20.77%
MarseilleDrawClermont
2-0 @ 11.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 10.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 7.38% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.63% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 3.71% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.33% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.5%
5-0 @ 1.49% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 63.19%
1-1 @ 9.86% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.46%
2-2 @ 4.45% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 20.77%
0-1 @ 4.91% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.43% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.21% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.33% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 16.04%

How you voted: Marseille vs Clermont

Marseille
88.2%
Draw
10.3%
Clermont
1.5%
68
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2022 7.45pm
Marseille
0-2
Clermont

Sampaoli (39'), Guendouzi (68'), Caleta-Car (75')
Bayo (13'), Allevinah (84')
Seidu (68'), Kyei (89')
Oct 31, 2021 7.45pm
Clermont
0-1
Marseille

Khaoui (53')
Under (25')
Guendouzi (24'), Saliba (40'), Balerdi (43'), de la Fuente (56')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG37274687375085
2Lens37249465283781
3Marseille37227867392873
4Lille37199964432166
5Rennes372051267382965
6MonacoMonaco371981069561365
7Lyon371881164442062
8Clermont37168134247-556
9Nice371413104536955
10Lorient371410135052-252
11Reims371215104442251
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier37145186261147
13Toulouse37129164956-745
14Brest371111154352-944
15StrasbourgStrasbourg37913155057-740
16Auxerre37811183460-2635
17NantesNantes37615163655-1933
RTroyes37411224480-3623
RAjaccio3765262274-5223
RAngers3746273380-4718
> Ligue 1 Full Table
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