Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.