Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 68.89%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 12.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.