The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Bordeaux and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brest 2-4 Bordeaux
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
| 19 | Metz | 38 | -34 | 31 |
| 20 | Bordeaux | 38 | -39 | 31 |
Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Troyes | 38 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 | Lorient | 38 | -28 | 36 |
| 17 | Clermont | 38 | -31 | 36 |
We said: Bordeaux 0-1 Lorient
Both teams are in poor form entering this clash, but with more incentive for Lorient as Bordeaux are already relegated, that is likely to give the visitors the edge in this match. Despite both sides having leaky defensive records, this could be a low-scoring affair as neither team have found the back of the net on many occasions recently either. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 59.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 19.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.69%) and 1-0 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bordeaux | Draw | Lorient |
59.7% ( 0.13) | 20.56% ( -0.04) | 19.73% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 59.56% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
