

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | FC Utrecht | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 11 | Groningen | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 12 | Cambuur | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | RKC Waalwijk | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 16 | Vitesse | 4 | -9 | 1 |
| 17 | Go Ahead Eagles | 5 | -8 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 48.6%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | Vitesse |
| 48.6% ( | 24.94% ( | 26.45% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.63% ( | 49.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.58% ( | 71.41% ( |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.66% ( | 20.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.27% ( | 52.73% ( |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.95% ( | 33.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.35% ( | 69.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | Vitesse |
| 1-0 @ 10.7% ( 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 2-0 @ 8.53% ( 3-1 @ 5.01% ( 3-0 @ 4.53% ( 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 4-1 @ 2% ( 4-0 @ 1.8% ( 4-2 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 48.6% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.44% ( 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0-2 @ 4.12% ( 1-3 @ 2.42% ( 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0-3 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 2.45% Total : 26.45% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 81 | 29 | 52 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 87 | 39 | 48 | 72 |
| 3 | Ajax | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 85 | 35 | 50 | 69 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 67 | 33 | 34 | 67 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 61 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 56 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 52 | 48 | 4 | 51 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 43 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 41 |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 40 |
| 11 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 38 |
| 12 | Vitesse | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 37 |
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 35 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 69 | -30 | 33 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 68 | -38 | 32 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 62 | -31 | 28 |
| R | Groningen | 33 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 31 | 70 | -39 | 18 |
| R | Cambuur | 33 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 22 | 69 | -47 | 16 |
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