

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 15 | Groningen | 2 | -5 | 1 |
| 16 | Go Ahead Eagles | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Groningen | 2 | -5 | 1 |
| 16 | Go Ahead Eagles | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 17 | Fortuna Sittard | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 58.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 18.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Groningen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Groningen.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 58.29% ( | 23.65% ( | 18.05% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.04% ( | 52.96% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.44% ( | 74.56% ( |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.06% ( | 17.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.25% ( | 48.75% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.71% ( | 43.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.47% ( | 79.53% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 1-0 @ 13.34% ( 2-0 @ 11.46% ( 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 3-0 @ 6.57% ( 3-1 @ 5.5% ( 4-0 @ 2.82% ( 4-1 @ 2.36% ( 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 5-0 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 58.29% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( 0-0 @ 7.76% ( 2-2 @ 4.02% ( Other @ 0.7% Total : 23.66% | 0-1 @ 6.5% ( 1-2 @ 4.68% ( 0-2 @ 2.72% ( 1-3 @ 1.31% ( 2-3 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 1.73% Total : 18.05% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 76 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 35 | 47 | 68 |
| 3 | Ajax | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 63 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 61 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 54 | 26 | 28 | 55 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 53 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 48 |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 41 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 38 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 37 |
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 31 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 65 | -28 | 30 |
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 28 |
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 28 |
| R | Groningen | 31 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 29 | 61 | -32 | 18 |
| R | Cambuur | 31 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 21 | 63 | -42 | 16 |
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