| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Cambuur | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Emmen | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 63.14%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 17.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.17%) and 0-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 2-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 17.31% ( | 19.54% ( | 63.14% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.56% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.7% ( | 36.3% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.57% ( | 58.43% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.78% ( | 34.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.08% ( | 70.91% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.03% ( | 10.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 64.78% ( | 35.22% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 4.77% ( 1-0 @ 4.03% ( 2-0 @ 2.16% ( 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 3-1 @ 1.71% ( Other @ 2.77% Total : 17.32% | 1-1 @ 8.9% ( 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0-0 @ 3.75% ( 3-3 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.54% | 1-2 @ 9.83% ( 0-2 @ 9.17% ( 0-1 @ 8.3% ( 1-3 @ 7.24% ( 0-3 @ 6.75% ( 1-4 @ 4% ( 2-3 @ 3.88% ( 0-4 @ 3.73% ( 2-4 @ 2.15% ( 1-5 @ 1.77% ( 0-5 @ 1.65% ( 2-5 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 3.73% Total : 63.14% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 40 |
| 3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 47 | 23 | 24 | 38 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 35 |
| 5 | Ajax | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 34 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 33 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 30 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 27 |
| 9 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 23 |
| 10 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 19 |
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 19 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 19 |
| 14 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 19 |
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 34 | -19 | 15 |
| 16 | FC VolendamVolendam | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 13 |
| 17 | Cambuur | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 12 |
| 18 | Groningen | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 12 |
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