Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cambuur | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 41.99% ( | 25.83% ( | 32.18% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.94% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.83% ( | 50.16% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.87% ( | 72.13% ( |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.3% ( | 23.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.18% ( | 57.82% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.7% ( | 29.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.73% ( | 65.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambuur | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 1-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 2-0 @ 7.2% ( 3-1 @ 4.24% ( 3-0 @ 3.45% ( 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 4-2 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 1.96% Total : 41.99% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0-0 @ 6.94% ( 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.52% ( 1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0-2 @ 5.23% ( 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0-3 @ 2.14% ( 1-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.5% Total : 32.18% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 25 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 56 | 23 | 33 | 58 |
| 2 | Ajax | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 70 | 25 | 45 | 55 |
| 3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 28 | 23 | 53 |
| 4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 66 | 30 | 36 | 52 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 44 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 43 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 38 |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 32 |
| 9 | NECNijmegen | 25 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 31 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 31 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 29 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 26 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 23 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 23 |
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 21 |
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 21 | 60 | -39 | 20 |
| 17 | Groningen | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 45 | -26 | 16 |
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