Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Heerenveen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Heerenveen.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Cambuur |
| 45.25% ( | 24.97% ( | 29.77% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.64% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.55% ( | 47.45% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.33% ( | 69.66% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.99% ( | 21.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.21% ( | 53.79% ( |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.43% ( | 29.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.41% ( | 65.59% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | Cambuur |
| 1-0 @ 9.69% ( 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 2-0 @ 7.56% ( 3-1 @ 4.79% ( 3-0 @ 3.93% ( 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 4-2 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 45.25% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0-0 @ 6.21% ( 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 3-3 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0-2 @ 4.61% ( 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0-3 @ 1.87% ( Other @ 3.32% Total : 29.78% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 49 |
| 2 | Ajax | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 63 | 22 | 41 | 46 |
| 3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 47 | 27 | 20 | 44 |
| 4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 57 | 27 | 30 | 43 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 40 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 37 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 34 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 30 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 29 |
| 10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 26 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 25 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 21 | 4 | 12 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 23 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 20 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 20 | 48 | -28 | 20 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
| 17 | Groningen | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 48 | -26 | 14 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 13 |
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