Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cambuur | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 41.22% | 23.97% | 34.8% |
| Both teams to score 61.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.95% | 41.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.56% | 63.44% |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.85% | 20.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.58% | 52.41% |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.65% | 23.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.7% | 57.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambuur | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-1 @ 8.78% 1-0 @ 7.53% 2-0 @ 6.04% 3-1 @ 4.69% 3-2 @ 3.41% 3-0 @ 3.22% 4-1 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.01% Total : 41.22% | 1-1 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 6.39% 0-0 @ 4.7% 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 7.97% 0-1 @ 6.84% 0-2 @ 4.98% 1-3 @ 3.87% 2-3 @ 3.1% 0-3 @ 2.41% 1-4 @ 1.41% 2-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.1% Total : 34.8% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 49 |
| 2 | Ajax | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 63 | 22 | 41 | 46 |
| 3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 47 | 27 | 20 | 44 |
| 4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 57 | 27 | 30 | 43 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 40 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 37 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 34 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 30 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 29 |
| 10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 26 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 25 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 21 | 4 | 12 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 23 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 20 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 20 | 48 | -28 | 20 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
| 17 | Groningen | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 48 | -26 | 14 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 13 |
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