Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 86.95%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 3.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.97%) and 4-0 (10.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.5%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (1.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Barcelona in this match.