Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 54.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Cambuur win it was 1-0 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cambuur | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 21.6% ( | 24.09% ( | 54.31% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.72% ( | 50.27% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.77% ( | 72.22% ( |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.12% ( | 37.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.35% ( | 74.65% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.58% ( | 18.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.43% ( | 49.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambuur | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 1-0 @ 6.77% ( 2-1 @ 5.56% ( 2-0 @ 3.29% ( 3-1 @ 1.8% ( 3-2 @ 1.52% ( 3-0 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 1.59% Total : 21.6% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 2-2 @ 4.71% ( Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.08% | 0-1 @ 11.8% ( 0-2 @ 9.98% ( 1-2 @ 9.69% ( 0-3 @ 5.63% ( 1-3 @ 5.47% ( 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0-4 @ 2.38% ( 1-4 @ 2.31% ( 2-4 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 3.26% Total : 54.31% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 28 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 67 | 27 | 40 | 67 |
| 2 | Ajax | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 76 | 28 | 48 | 59 |
| 3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 75 | 33 | 42 | 59 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 53 | 32 | 21 | 54 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 48 | 22 | 26 | 51 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 49 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 42 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 38 |
| 9 | NECNijmegen | 28 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
| 10 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 35 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 32 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 30 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 27 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 32 | 58 | -26 | 27 |
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 25 |
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 28 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 25 | 65 | -40 | 24 |
| 17 | Groningen | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 28 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 21 | 55 | -34 | 16 |
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