

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 52.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 52.27% ( | 24.12% ( | 23.6% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.09% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.68% ( | 48.32% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.54% ( | 70.46% ( |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.54% ( | 18.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.36% ( | 49.64% ( |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.11% ( | 34.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.37% ( | 71.63% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.88% ( 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 2-0 @ 9.19% ( 3-1 @ 5.45% ( 3-0 @ 5.18% ( 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 4-0 @ 2.19% ( 4-2 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 3.31% Total : 52.27% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 3-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.11% | 0-1 @ 6.78% ( 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0-2 @ 3.57% ( 1-3 @ 2.12% ( 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 2.06% Total : 23.6% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
| 2 | Chesterfield | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Barnet | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Halifax TownHalifax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Ebbsfleet | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Rochdale | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 |
| 16 | Eastleigh | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 17 | Gateshead | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 |
| 18 | Woking | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
| 19 | Fylde | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 |
| 20 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| 21 | York City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 22 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 0 |
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 |
| 24 | Bromley | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
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