Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 45.73%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
