

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 62.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 17.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 62.38% ( | 20.27% ( | 17.35% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.98% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.3% ( | 39.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.95% ( | 62.05% ( |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.8% ( | 12.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.15% ( | 37.85% ( |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.76% ( | 36.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.97% ( | 73.02% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 2-0 @ 9.78% ( 1-0 @ 9.3% ( 3-1 @ 6.97% ( 3-0 @ 6.86% ( 4-1 @ 3.67% ( 4-0 @ 3.61% ( 3-2 @ 3.54% ( 4-2 @ 1.86% ( 5-1 @ 1.54% ( 5-0 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 3.81% Total : 62.38% | 1-1 @ 9.44% ( 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0-0 @ 4.42% ( 3-3 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.27% | 1-2 @ 4.79% ( 0-1 @ 4.48% ( 0-2 @ 2.28% ( 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 1-3 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 17.35% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 21 | 21 |
| 2 | FC Twente | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 6 | 20 | 17 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 16 |
| 5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Heracles | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Ajax | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | NECNijmegen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | PEC Zwolle | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 6 |
| 14 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 6 |
| 15 | Almere CityAlmere City | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
| 16 | Vitesse | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 3 |
| 17 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 16 | -12 | 3 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
