

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 45.56%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 26.78%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Osasuna |
| 45.56% ( | 27.66% ( | 26.78% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.67% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.56% ( | 59.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.19% ( | 79.8% ( |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.94% ( | 26.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.89% ( | 61.1% ( |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.77% ( | 38.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.01% ( | 74.99% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | Osasuna |
| 1-0 @ 13.39% ( 2-0 @ 9.01% ( 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 3-0 @ 4.04% ( 3-1 @ 3.88% ( 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 4-1 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 2.04% Total : 45.55% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( 0-0 @ 9.96% ( 2-2 @ 4.17% ( Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.66% | 0-1 @ 9.58% ( 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0-2 @ 4.61% ( 1-3 @ 1.99% ( 0-3 @ 1.48% ( 2-3 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 1.6% Total : 26.78% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 99 | 39 | 60 | 85 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 84 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 21 | 10 | 6 | 64 | 30 | 34 | 73 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 54 | 26 | 28 | 70 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 67 | 49 | 18 | 67 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 60 |
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 55 |
| 8 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 52 |
| 10 | Mallorca | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 48 |
| 11 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 46 |
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 46 |
| 13 | Getafe | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 |
| 14 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 42 |
| 15 | Espanyol | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 |
| 16 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 41 |
| 17 | GironaGirona | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 41 |
| 18 | Leganes | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 40 |
| R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 32 |
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 90 | -64 | 16 |
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