Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 45.56%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 26.78%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Osasuna |
45.56% (![]() | 27.66% (![]() | 26.78% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.67% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.56% (![]() | 59.43% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.19% (![]() | 79.8% (![]() |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.94% (![]() | 26.06% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.89% (![]() | 61.1% (![]() |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.77% (![]() | 38.23% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.01% (![]() | 74.99% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Osasuna |
1-0 @ 13.39% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.01% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.66% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.04% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.88% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.31% ( ![]() Other @ 2.04% Total : 45.55% | 1-1 @ 12.88% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.96% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.17% ( ![]() Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.66% | 0-1 @ 9.58% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.19% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.61% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.34% ( ![]() Other @ 1.6% Total : 26.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |