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Melbourne City
Australian A-League | 2nd Leg
May 24, 2025 at 10.35am UK
Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Western United

Melbourne City
vs.
Western Utd

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Western United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions
Last Game: Western Utd 0-3 Melbourne City
Friday, May 16 at 10.35am in Australian A-League

Western United

All competitions
Last Game: Western Utd 0-3 Melbourne City
Friday, May 16 at 10.35am in Australian A-League

We say: Melbourne City 1-1 Western United

 City's first-leg advantage speaks for itself, and having won eight of their last 10 at home, they will be confident of another victory this weekend. However, Western have a tendency to score a high number of goals on the road, and they are likely to be on the scoresheet this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne City win with a probability of 73.07%. A draw has a probability of 15.9% and a win for Western United has a probability of 11.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.3%) and 3-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.33%), while for a Western United win it is 1-2 (3.26%).

Result
Melbourne CityDrawWestern United
73.07% (0.10299999999999 0.1) 15.91% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06) 11.01% (-0.045 -0.04)
Both teams to score 54.27% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.56% (0.16 0.16)33.44% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.77% (0.181 0.18)55.23% (-0.179 -0.18)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.1% (0.060000000000002 0.06)7.9% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.04% (0.152 0.15)27.96% (-0.15 -0.15)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.93% (0.032000000000004 0.03)41.07% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.38% (0.028000000000002 0.03)77.62% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 73.07%
    Western United 11.01%
    Draw 15.91%
Melbourne CityDrawWestern United
2-0 @ 10.45% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.24% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.87% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.61% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.99% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.5% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.85% (0.018 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.54% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.22% (0.012 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.21% (0.011 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.07% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 73.07%
1-1 @ 7.33% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.25% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 15.91%
1-2 @ 3.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.89% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 11.01%

Who will win Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Western Utd?

Melbourne City
Draw
Western United
Melbourne City
50.0%
Draw
50.0%
Western United
0.0%
6
Head to Head
May 16, 2025 10.35am
Western Utd
0-3
Melbourne City

Ruhs (12'), Bozinovski (28'), Thurgate (86')
Ferreyra (16'), Cohen (54'), Leckie (72')
Schreiber (58'), Ferreyra (82'), Ugarkovic (89')
Jan 7, 2025 7am
Gameweek 17
Melbourne City
2-0
Western Utd
Politidis (32'), Mazzeo (59')
Schreiber (-5'), Ugarkovic (41'), Schreiber (63'), Souprayen (84'), Dunbar (90'), Dunbar (90')

Thurgate (41'), Bozinovski (90')
Nov 4, 2024 8am
Gameweek 3
Western Utd
0-1
Melbourne City

Walatee (77'), Aloisi (87')
Nabbout (49')
Schreiber (62'), Atkinson (66')
Apr 28, 2024 8am
Gameweek 26
Melbourne City
1-0
Western Utd
MacLaren (19')
Leckie (28')

Donachie (66')
Jan 7, 2024 6am
Gameweek 11
Western Utd
1-2
Melbourne City
Ruhs (13')
Lustica (50'), Thurgate (82')
Sakhi (52'), Antonis (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Auckland FC26158349272253
2Melbourne CityMelbourne City26146641251648
3Western UnitedWestern Utd26145755371847
4Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney26137658401846
5Melbourne VictoryVictory2612774436843
6Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United2610885355-238
7Sydney FCSydney FC2610795346737
8Macarthur2696115045533
9Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets2686124344-130
10Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast26511102951-2226
11Wellington PhoenixWellington2666142743-1624
12Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar2656153251-1921
13Perth GloryPerth Glory2645172256-3417
> Australian A-League Full Table


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