Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Western United had a probability of 36.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.55%) and 1-3 (4.94%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.