

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Western United had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.04%) and 2-0 (5.51%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Western United |
| 48.94% ( | 21.16% ( | 29.89% ( |
| Both teams to score 69.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.77% ( | 29.22% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.75% ( | 50.25% ( |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.36% ( | 12.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.23% ( | 38.77% ( |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.63% ( | 20.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.22% ( | 52.78% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Western United |
| 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 3-1 @ 6.04% ( 2-0 @ 5.51% ( 1-0 @ 5.32% ( 3-2 @ 4.81% ( 3-0 @ 3.8% ( 4-1 @ 3.13% ( 4-2 @ 2.49% ( 4-0 @ 1.96% ( 4-3 @ 1.32% ( 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 5-2 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 3.48% Total : 48.94% | 1-1 @ 8.47% ( 2-2 @ 6.97% ( 0-0 @ 2.57% ( 3-3 @ 2.55% ( Other @ 0.6% Total : 21.16% | 1-2 @ 6.74% ( 0-1 @ 4.09% ( 2-3 @ 3.7% ( 1-3 @ 3.57% ( 0-2 @ 3.26% ( 0-3 @ 1.73% ( 2-4 @ 1.47% ( 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 3-4 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.89% Total : 29.89% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Auckland FC | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 53 |
| 2 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 48 |
| 3 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 47 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 58 | 40 | 18 | 46 |
| 5 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 43 |
| 6 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 38 |
| 7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 37 |
| 8 | Macarthur | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 33 |
| 9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 30 |
| 10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 26 |
| 11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 24 |
| 12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 21 |
| 13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 56 | -34 | 17 |
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